The simulation grants Vance three hundred thirty-nine electoral votes against one hundred ninety-nine for Ocasio-Cortez, citing her extreme platform as a major vulnerability.

Vance easily secures traditional conservative strongholds while expanding his map into vital Midwestern battlegrounds like Ohio and Iowa following recent voting trends.

Market odds suggest Ocasio-Cortez is seriously considering a primary run, though this new electoral model warns her nomination guarantees a historic Republican victory.

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